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1.
Atmospheric Pollution Research ; : 101785, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | ScienceDirect | ID: covidwho-2308604

RESUMEN

Hypertension is a common chronic disease, and air pollution is strongly associated with hypertension hospitalization. However, the association between nitrogen dioxide (NO2)1 concentration and hypertension hospitalization has rarely been studied. We collected daily data on hypertension hospitalizations, air pollutants, and meteorology from January 1, 2016 to October 31, 2021. After controlling for the effects of seasonal and long-term trends, weather conditions, weekdays, holidays, and during the novel coronavirus crown epidemic, a generalized additive model with over discrete Poisson regression was used to simulate the association between NO2 concentration and hypertension hospitalizations while quantifying hypertension hospitalizations, hospital stays, and hospital costs attributable to NO2. The results showed that each 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 concentration was significantly associated with the relative risk (RR) of hypertension admission in Xinxiang, with the greatest effect at lag04 (RR = 1.107;95% confidence interval, 1.046–1.172). Hypertension hospitalizations attributed to NO2 during the study period accounted for 9.70% (484) of the total hypertension hospitalizations, equivalent to 4202 hospital days and 338.55 thousand United States dollars (USD). Increased NO2 concentration increases the risk of hypertension hospitalization in Xinxiang, which poses a significant health and economic burden to society and patients. The findings of this study provide a basis for developing stricter environmental pollutant standards.

2.
Bull Math Biol ; 84(5): 55, 2022 04 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1772996

RESUMEN

The sudden outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 has caused the shortage of medical resources around the world, especially in developing countries and underdeveloped regions. With the continuous increase in the duration of this disease, the control of migration of humans between regions or countries has to be relaxed. Based on this, we propose a two-patches mathematical model to simulate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among two-patches, asymptomatic infected humans and symptomatic infected humans, where a half-saturated detection rate function is also introduced to describe the effect of medical resources. By applying the methods of linearization and constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, the local and global stability of the disease-free equilibrium of this model without migration is obtained. Further, the existence of forward/backward bifurcation is analyzed, which is caused by the limited medical resources. This means that the elimination or prevalence of the disease no longer depends on the basic reproduction number but is closely related to the initial state of asymptomatic and symptomatic infected humans and the supply of medical resources. Finally, the global dynamics of the full model are discussed, and some numerical simulations are carried to explain the main results and the effects of migration and supply of medical resources on the transmission of disease.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Número Básico de Reproducción , COVID-19/epidemiología , Humanos , Conceptos Matemáticos , Modelos Biológicos
3.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 100(32): e26881, 2021 Aug 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1358518

RESUMEN

ABSTRACT: Radix Isatidis (Banlangen) is a well-known traditional Chinese medicine for the treatment of different diseases and prevention of many body disorders. Besides, it also plays a pivotal role in novel coronavirus pneumonia, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, few researchers know its active ingredients and mechanism of action for COVID-19. To find whether Banlangen has a pharmacological effect on COVID-19. In this research, we systematically analyze Banlangen and COVID-19 through network pharmacology technology. A total of 33 active ingredients in Banlangen, 92 targets of the active ingredients, and 259 appropriate targets of COVID-19 were obtained, with 11 common targets. The analysis of the biological process of gene ontology and the enrichment of Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes signaling pathway suggests that Banlangen participated in the biological processes of protein phosphatase binding, tetrapyrrole binding, the apoptotic process involving cysteine-type endopeptidase activity, etc. The COVID-19 may be treated by regulating advanced glycation end products/a receptor for advanced glycation end products signaling pathway, interleukin-17 signaling pathway, tumor necrosis factor signaling pathway, sphingolipid signaling pathway, and p53 signaling pathway. Banlangen has a potential pharmacological effect on COVID-19, which has the value of further exploration in the following experiment and clinical application.


Asunto(s)
Tratamiento Farmacológico de COVID-19 , Medicamentos Herbarios Chinos/farmacocinética , Medicamentos Herbarios Chinos/normas , Medicamentos Herbarios Chinos/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Mapeo de Interacción de Proteínas/métodos
5.
COVID-19 basic reproduction number disease-free and endemic equilibrium dynamical model stability and extinction ; 2020(Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences)
Artículo en Inglés | WHO COVID | ID: covidwho-734135

RESUMEN

Based on the control measures at different stages of COVID-19 and its transmission characteristics, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of this virus among wild animals, human population, and the environment, where the migration of humans, asymptomatic infected humans, and the self-protection awareness of susceptible humans are also introduced. We discuss, firstly, the existence and stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium of wild animals and environment-only model;this happens to be the initial stage of disease transmission. Further, with the intervention of control measures, the model degenerates into a subsystem with only human population and environment;the existence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium of this subsystem are studied. With the strengthening of control strategies, the environment and human population subsystems have further degenerated into a human population-only model with blocking migration and environment;the ultimate extinction of this disease and the peak of the outbreak are researched. Finally, some numerical simulations are carried to explain the main results and the impacts of various control strategies on the disease outbreak. In particular, we also fit the confirmed cases in Wuhan from 24 January to 5 March to illustrate the rationality and effectiveness of our model. The results show that, in the early stage of the outbreak of COVID-19, stopping all the migration of humans, increasing the intensity of treatment, enhancing the awareness of personal protection, and especially increasing the ability to identify asymptomatic infections are indispensable control means to control this disease.

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